MODELING OF REGIONAL TRENDS FOOD MARKET


  • O. R. Kondra Carpathian Institute of Hrushevsky Private Joint Stock Company «Higher education institution «Interregional Academy of Personnel Management», Lviv
Keywords: local food market, food security in the region, industry market trends extrapolation method, polynomial trend equation, the coefficient of determination

Abstract

In the article the author asked to forecast future production volumes and consumption of food products that will make it possible to predict changes in aggregate demand and adapt food production to future conditions.

Forecast future volume of food production based on correlation and regression model, extrapolation factor variable and conducting peer reviews. As the object of forecasting certain types of products, supply is determined by regional demand, which can vary in the short term: bread and bakery products, meat and meat products, milk and dairy products, fish and fish products, potatoes.

According to the results of forecasting 2016 production of meat and meat products, fish and fish products, potatoes could grow compared to 2014 year. The decline in food production per capita can happen on such commodity groups as bread and bakery products, and milk and dairy products. Consumption will rise in all food groups studied, except for fish and fishery products.

 

Author Biography

O. R. Kondra, Carpathian Institute of Hrushevsky Private Joint Stock Company «Higher education institution «Interregional Academy of Personnel Management», Lviv
Senior Lecturer

References

Golovne upravlinnja statystyky u L'vivs'kij oblasti. Rezhym dostupu.//http://lv.ukrstat.gov.ua/. (in Ukrainian).

Dzjubenko, N. O. Social'no-ekonomichne prognozuvannja rozvytku prodovol'chogo rynku v Ukrai'ni [Tekst] : avtoref. dys. ... kand. ekon. nauk : 08.00.03 / Dzjubenko Nadija Oleksandrivna ; L'viv. nac. un-t im. Ivana Franka. – L'viv, 2014. – 20 s. (in Ukrainian).

Abstract views: 16
PDF Downloads: 9
Published
2015-03-05
How to Cite
Kondra, O. R. (2015). MODELING OF REGIONAL TRENDS FOOD MARKET. Scientific Messenger of LNU of Veterinary Medicine and Biotechnologies. Series Economical Sciences, 17(4), 249-259. Retrieved from https://nvlvet.com.ua/index.php/economy/article/view/3378
Section
Economic efficiency of production and agricultural products alteration